Friday, March 7, 2008

The real-world effects of getting three wishes from a genie

I just had an interesting conversation with one of my children. My son asked me what would I wish for if a genie gave me three wishes?

Now that is something that has been probably asked for ever since the idea of magical genies were conjured up in the minds of man.

So what would be the real-world implications be if we treated this question as a thought experiment?

Since wishes would differ from person to person depending on their innermost desires or immediate needs, let's confine our discussion with the most common wishes and analyze their real-world effects:

1) No more war / Peace on Earth

2) No more disease or sickness

3) No more death

4) No more famine or food shortages

5) No more poverty / equal distribution of wealth

6) No more discrimination / equality regardless of race, gender, etc.

I didn't include "I wanna have super powers" because the real-world effects will depend on what type of super power was desired. We'd be better off watching Heroes instead. :D

Another common wish I didn't include is to have another 3 wishes or unlimited wishes. This is more of a "cheat" and not really that relevant to the discussion anyway. So let's get the ball rolling and analyze the wishes one by one:

No more war / Peace on Earth - this is a very noble wish indeed. I mean, who wouldn't want to have a world without war and suffering? But let's try to look at the effects objectively without labeling anything good or bad:

Definitely, all the worlds' arms dealers would be out of business. They'd have to find another means of making a living wouldn't they? Companies and factories that produce weapons would be severely affected as well. Armies would be a thing of the past. Industries that depend on military spending will be affected as well. There would be a domino effect on various economies of the world.

At the risk of sounding like a pessimist, I believe man is a creature in conflict with itself. He always finds something to rebel against. A child/teen eventually rebels against his parents. People rebel against laws that were created for his own good. People revolt against government. Man rebels against himself because he harbors both good and evil within. He is constantly at war with himself every waking minute of his life.

Anyway, if wars all over the world ended one way or another, the world's population would increase at an alarming rate. Like it or not, war is a big factor in managing the world's population (births vs deaths). Remember, man is not the only creature to wage war (just look at the animal kingdom, Ants regularly wage war over territory and food). The likely effect of the elimination of war? Too many people, not enough food, jobs, shelter, etc.

No more disease or sickness - Effects are very similar to the absence of war. Too many people, not enough food, jobs, shelter, etc.

Since everybody will have a healing factor like Wolverine, the health care industry will collapse. No more hospitals and clinics. Insurance companies will also be adversely affected as a great number of people will suddenly terminate their insurance policies under the false belief that they will live forever (you can still die if someone chops your head off, burns you to a crisp, drops you in a vat of acid, rips your heart out, feeds you to a lion... You get the idea). People in these industries and businesses will suddenly be out of work. Unemployment will skyrocket.

We also cannot ignore that since more people will be alive longer, generational gaps will likely develop and fracture society. Imagine living a large portion of your life with that nagging wife or mother-in-law. What would people probably do in such a situation? Partners or families separate or cut their ties is the most likely answer.

No more death - Lets say that everybody stops aging when they reach as certain age (like 40 or 50 years old). Everybody is immortal. No one dies anymore. You get to see all your descendants (not bad unless you have relatives that nag you all the time). What else happens? People start thinking of themselves as gods or superheroes (I can't die whatever I do, I am the Highlander! Bring me my battle axe!). Religions worldwide are significantly affected (if no one dies anymore, how will we get to see heaven?). Overpopulation becomes an immediate worldwide problem. Technologies to improve food production becomes imperative (progress and innovation here). Colonization of the oceans (above and below) as well as outer space becomes the next great challenge. Wars become pointless because no one will win in a perpetual conflict where no one dies (boring to any gamer on god mode). On a positive note, the search for enlightenment and knowledge will possibly become more important for people (think Star Trek). On the other hand, others may suddenly find life too boring since everybody can just take their time doing anything. This will certainly lead to complacency, laziness and indifference. Life moves at a snail's pace. Society will deteriorate and progress on all fronts will eventually come to a grinding halt. We ultimately become the proverbial couch potato (a really fat potato if you find eating to your hearts content the entertainment of your life, or a really thin one if you find eating unnecessary due to your immortality). Unless we all find a significant or profound purpose in life (like making mother earth beautiful again, saving all endangered species, making warp travel a reality, making time travel possible, etc...). If you come to think of it, because we are a finite species, we have actually achieved more in such as short period of time. The fact that we know we will not last forever actually makes us excel and want to achieve our dreams. We strive so hard because we want to see the fruits of our labor while there is still time.

No more famine or food shortages - definitely an altruisitic wish. Who wouldn't want to end famine or hunger in many parts of the world? Seeing a starving child is heartbreaking. But what happens if we find a way to eliminate food shortages? Good effects would likely be increased productivity and prosperity for all countries since the population will become healthy. Bad effects might be in the form of power being centered among those where food production is concentrated. Food control becomes a means of gaining power over others. Inequality results.

No more poverty / equal distribution of wealth - I don't really want to dwell too long on this. This was already tried by the Communists. Look at what happened to them (obviously, it didn't go too well for the people it was supposed to benefit). However, making everyone equal in terms of wealth would still not negate some men's need for more wealth (not to mention power). Competition and envy still will play a factor in how man deals with this development. Looking at it one way, no matter how hard you work, you always had the same amount of money, so why work at all? Man has an inborn need to prove his self worth. Hopefully, this may be manifested through trying to improve oneself not through the accumulation of wealth, but by other aspects such as talents (such as music / arts or sports). Maybe we all will strive for laurel crowns and Nobel prizes instead of cash. The improvement of one's self through skills and talents. Wouldn't that be something?

No more discrimination / equality regardless of race, gender - this is another nice wish. We've all seen discrimination in one form or another. One positive effect would be people will start to have a healthy amount of respect for each other. Another would be businesses will become more productive since people will be hired solely based on their ability to do a certain job. Downsides? Countries that do not develop their manpower and focus on improving the quality of education for their work force may be on the losing end economically speaking. Local workers may start losing job opportunities if foreigners who are more qualified get the lion's share of the available jobs. This is already prevalent within the US and other countries that are heavily outsourcing jobs.

There! This was my longest post so far. I hope you had a good read. As the old saying goes: "Be careful what you wish for"...

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Well, this is a most interesting read. Never quite had the time to think about it the way you wrote it.

Nice. And I quite agree with what you posted here. :)

So I guess instead of the words "no (this) and no (that)"...perhaps "lesser (this) and lesser (that)" would give us a better balance? :p

Unknown said...

oh my... someone actually read my post.

but as to your comment, i would tend to agree that "lesser" or "more" of something would prove a better option.

however, this entails the sticky question of "by how much?"... :)

Unknown said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
doah said...

Oh Nooo!!! these are my Wishes!!!!

Erase...erase...